US v. Shonubi

Decision Date04 August 1995
Docket NumberNo. CR 92-0007.,CR 92-0007.
Citation895 F. Supp. 460
PartiesUNITED STATES of America, v. Charles O. SHONUBI, Defendant.
CourtU.S. District Court — Eastern District of New York

COPYRIGHT MATERIAL OMITTED

Zachary W. Carter, United States Attorney, Eastern District of New York, Brooklyn, NY (Karen A. Popp, Assistant U.S. Attorney, of counsel), for U.S.

David G. Secular, New York City, for defendant.

AMENDED MEMORANDUM AND JUDGMENT

WEINSTEIN, Senior District Judge.

                                                                     CONTENTS
                   I. Introduction ................................................................ 464
                  II. Facts ....................................................................... 465
                 III. Procedural History .......................................................... 466
                
                      A. Aborted plea bargain ..................................................... 466
                      B. Trial .................................................................... 466
                      C. Sentencing ............................................................... 466
                      D. Appeal ................................................................... 467
                      E. Proceedings on remand utilizing Rule 706 of the Federal Rules of
                         Evidence ................................................................. 468
                      F. Summary of arguments on remand ........................................... 468
                      G. Statement of the issue before the court .................................. 469
                  IV. Sentencing Law .............................................................. 470
                      A. Burden of proof .......................................................... 470
                         1. Generally ............................................................. 470
                         2. Burden of proof at sentencing ......................................... 471
                      B. Operation of the Guidelines .............................................. 472
                         1. Drug cases ............................................................ 473
                         2. Non-drug cases ........................................................ 474
                      C. Caselaw on estimation and specific evidence .............................. 475
                         1. Estimation ............................................................ 475
                         2. Estimates based on extrapolation ...................................... 477
                         3. Specific evidence ..................................................... 478
                   V. Available Sources of Information ............................................ 479
                      A. Background knowledge ..................................................... 479
                      B. Knowledge of the drug trade .............................................. 480
                      C. Demeanor ................................................................. 480
                         1. How judges use demeanor ............................................... 481
                         2. Demeanor and appellate review ......................................... 481
                      D. Assumptions about criminal behavior ...................................... 481
                  VI. How Decision-Makers Learn and Decide ........................................ 482
                      A. Inferences based on prior information and training ....................... 482
                      B. Methods of reaching conclusions .......................................... 483
                         1. Classical step-by-step analysis ....................................... 483
                         2. Bayesian and statistical analysis ..................................... 484
                         3. Biases ................................................................ 486
                         4. Storytelling .......................................................... 487
                 VII. Application of Law to Facts on Original Sentence ............................ 488
                      A. Evidence from trial ...................................................... 488
                      B. Demeanor and character ................................................... 489
                      C. Knowledge of the drug trade: the trip effect ............................. 490
                      D. Storytelling analysis .................................................... 491
                VIII. Desirability of Further Analysis ............................................ 492
                  IX. The General Federal Rule Favoring Admissibility Of and Reliance on All
                      Helpful Evidence ............................................................ 492
                      A. Mechanistic rules versus flexible general principles ..................... 493
                      B. Development of twentieth century conceptions of evidence codes ........... 494
                      C. Model Code of Evidence ................................................... 496
                      D. Federal Rules of Evidence ................................................ 497
                      E. Recent developments ...................................................... 499
                   X. Additional Material Available to Sentencing Judge On Remand ................. 499
                      A. Experts' reports ......................................................... 499
                         1. Government expert ..................................................... 499
                         2. Defense expert ........................................................ 504
                         3. Rule 706 Panel ........................................................ 505
                            a. Use of fictions .................................................... 505
                            b. Problems with government's assumptions ............................. 506
                            c. Comments on defendant's report ..................................... 506
                
                            d. Non-statistical analysis ........................................... 506
                            e. Statistical analysis ............................................... 507
                            f. Simulations accounting for trip effect ............................. 508
                            g. Conclusion ......................................................... 510
                      B. Survey of the Eastern District bench ..................................... 511
                      C. Testimony on economics of heroin smuggling ............................... 511
                  XI. Law Applicable to Statistical and Other Information Supplied After Remand ... 513
                      A. Admissibility of probabilistic evidence .................................. 513
                      B. Use of bare statistics ................................................... 516
                         1. Generally ............................................................. 516
                         2. Criminal cases ........................................................ 518
                 XII. Application of Law to Facts After Remand .................................... 518
                      A. Conclusions about experts' reports ....................................... 519
                      B. Random versus non-random sampling ........................................ 520
                      C. Use of statistics to illustrate non-statistical decision-making .......... 521
                      D. Conclusions on proper role of statistics in this case .................... 523
                      E. Cross-checking ........................................................... 523
                      F. Conclusion in light of statistics and other information provided on
                           remand ................................................................. 524
                XIII. Obstruction of Justice Enhancement .......................................... 524
                      A. Purposes of sentencing and of § 3C1.1 ............................... 524
                      B. Double-counting .......................................................... 525
                      C. Discretion to enhance under Dunnigan ..................................... 526
                      D. Unconstitutionality of automatic enhancement ............................. 527
                      E. Particularized finding of perjury ........................................ 527
                      F. Conclusion ............................................................... 528
                 XIV. Additional Sentencing Considerations ........................................ 528
                      A. "Penalty" for going to trial ............................................. 528
                      B. Sentencing within prescribed Guidelines range ............................ 529
                      C. Added time in prison required by Guidelines system ....................... 530
                  XV. Conclusion .................................................................. 530
                
I. Introduction

The defendant was caught entering the country with 427.4 grams of heroin in his digestive tract. It is believed that he made seven prior drug smuggling trips, but not how much he carried on those trips. The court is required, under the Sentencing Guidelines, to estimate the total quantity of heroin imported.

At the original sentence, the court multiplied 427.4 by eight, arriving at a total of 3419.2 grams. The sentence was 151 months in prison, the low end of the Guidelines range for importation of 3,000 grams of heroin or more. See United States v. Shonubi, 802 F.Supp. 859 (E.D.N.Y.1992) Shonubi I, conviction affirmed, sentence reversed, 998 F.2d 84 (2d Cir.1993) Shonubi II.

The court of appeals rejected this solution and remanded. On reconsideration, the trial court now concludes that the defendant should be sentenced for importing between 1,000 and 3,000 grams of heroin. For reasons indicated in Parts XIII, XIV, and XV, infra, the term of imprisonment is unchanged.

This memorandum is largely devoted to explaining how a sentencing judge — and a trier of fact generally — reaches a decision. The case presents an opportunity to observe, explain, and discuss forensic decision-making. The absence of exclusionary rules of evidence at sentencing, the availability of statistics against which to "check" non-statistical proof, and the assistance of skilled experts have permitted the court to examine the decision-making process more fully than circumstances usually permit.

It should come as no surprise that in addition to rational analysis, the forensic factfinder depends upon assumptions and methods of thinking that may introduce biases and errors. Articulating the assumptions used in this case may provide valuable...

To continue reading

Request your trial
34 cases
  • Ganzy v. Allen Christian School
    • United States
    • U.S. District Court — Eastern District of New York
    • March 2, 1998
    ...and conclusions as to the facts, differences in experience and outlook might well make a difference. Cf. United States v. Shonubi, 895 F.Supp. 460, 482-83 (E.D.N.Y.1995) (discussing decision-maker's use of inferences based on prior information and training), vacated on other grounds, 103 F.......
  • Murphy v. M.C. Lint, Inc.
    • United States
    • U.S. District Court — Southern District of Iowa
    • July 27, 2006
    ...walks of life bring into the jury box a variety of different experiences, feelings, intuitions, and habits."); United States v. Shonubi, 895 F.Supp. 460, 482-88 (E.D.N.Y.1995) (methods triers of fact employ in deciding Gallagher, 139 F.3d 338, 342-43 (2d Cir. 1998) (some citations omitted) ......
  • Blue Cross & Blue Shield of N.J. v. Philip Morris
    • United States
    • U.S. District Court — Eastern District of New York
    • October 19, 2001
    ...of our modern American informed citizens and the responsibility of independent thought in a working society." United States v. Shonubi, 895 F.Supp. 460, 493 (E.D.N.Y.1995), rev'd on other grounds 103 F.3d 1085 (2d Cir.1997); see also James Bradley Thayer, Select Cases on Evidence at the Com......
  • State v. Jackson
    • United States
    • Montana Supreme Court
    • December 15, 2009
    ...of the defendant's guilt rather than the odds of the evidence having been found in a randomly selected sample." U.S. v. Shonubi, 895 F.Supp. 460, 516 (E.D.N.Y.1995) (internal quotation marks and citation omitted), vacated on other grounds, 103 F.3d 1085 (2d Cir.1997); see also U.S. v. Chisc......
  • Request a trial to view additional results
16 books & journal articles
  • Judging the Reliability of Expert Causation Opinions Based on Epidemiology Data After King v. Burlington Northern Santa Fe Railway Company: Is the Judge a Gatekeeper or a Matador
    • United States
    • University of Nebraska - Lincoln Nebraska Law Review No. 43, 2022
    • Invalid date
    ...may remain latent for years, are associated with diverse risk factors, and occur without any apparent cause); United States v. Shonubi, 895 F.Supp. 460, 517 (E.D.N.Y. 1995) (explaining that proof of causation in toxic tort cases involving latent effects and no "signature" diseases "is extre......
  • Selecting Your Expert
    • United States
    • James Publishing Practical Law Books Archive Qualifying & Attacking Expert Witnesses - 2018 Contents
    • August 4, 2018
    ...any expert witnesses agreed upon by the parties, and may appoint expert witnesses or its own selection. In United States v. Shonubi , 895 F. Supp. 460, 468 (E.D.N.Y 1995), the government relied upon statistical evidence to establish the total quantity of heroin imported by the defendant, an......
  • Selecting Your Expert
    • United States
    • James Publishing Practical Law Books Archive Qualifying & Attacking Expert Witnesses - 2019 Contents
    • August 4, 2019
    ...any expert witnesses agreed upon by the parties, and may appoint expert witnesses or its own selection. In United States v. Shonubi , 895 F. Supp. 460, 468 (E.D.N.Y 1995), the government relied upon statistical evidence to establish the total quantity of heroin imported by the defendant, an......
  • Selecting Your Expert
    • United States
    • James Publishing Practical Law Books Archive Qualifying & Attacking Expert Witnesses - 2020 Contents
    • August 4, 2020
    ...any expert witnesses agreed upon by the parties, and may appoint expert witnesses or its own selection. In United States v. Shonubi , 895 F. Supp. 460, 468 (E.D.N.Y 1995), the government relied upon statistical evidence to establish the total quantity of heroin imported by the defendant, an......
  • Request a trial to view additional results

VLEX uses login cookies to provide you with a better browsing experience. If you click on 'Accept' or continue browsing this site we consider that you accept our cookie policy. ACCEPT